Will the Health Care Bill Pass?

There is an old French saying that  goes:

Every country has the government that it deserves.

 ———

So, will the bill pass??

Probably not—Michael Barone 3/18/10, 5pm

No– Dick Morris 3/19/10, 8AM

Yes—Steny Hoyer and Nancy Pelosi 3/19/10, 9PM

No – Eric Cantor 3/19/10, 5PM

80% chance – Intrade 3/19/10, 9PM

Chaos? — The Daily Caller 3/19/10, 9PM

Abortion talks breakdown 3/20/10, 12PM

210-yes; 208-no; need 216 votes to pass; 13 undecided –NYT  Interactive 3/21/10, 1PM

 

It is in the interest of both Democrats and Republicans to try to convince Americans that their side is gaining the upper hand in persuading the undecided Congressmen. They are simply trying to create a domino effect in order to put psychological pressure on the remaining wavering Representatives. Watch for overly confident statements when you read the big media.

You will occasionally see an article in big media that just repeats some politician’s talking points. The article might discuss Congressmen who have switched their vote and will suggest that the momentum is changing. Take articles like that with a grain of salt. They might be true, but look for multiple sources.

Related posts:

  1. The Odds of Passing the Health Care Bill
  2. Where would you cut Health Care Costs?

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